Mazıdağı Fosfat SK 6-1 Yeşil Vartospor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Regional Amateur League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazıdağı Fosfat SK The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeşil Vartospor The Market 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Mazıdağı Fosfat SK vs Yeşil Vartospor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazıdağı Fosfat SK swept aside Yeşil Vartospor 6-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mazıdağı Fosfat SK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Mazıdağı Fosfat SK vs Yeşil Vartospor?

Mazıdağı Fosfat SK 6-1 Yeşil Vartospor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazıdağı Fosfat SK vs Yeşil Vartospor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mazıdağı Fosfat SK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mazıdağı Fosfat SK 45%, draw 29%, Yeşil Vartospor 26%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mazıdağı Fosfat SK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mazıdağı Fosfat SK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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