Yalova Yeşilovaspor 3-1 Altınova Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Regional Amateur League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.47
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
36%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over Pick
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
41%
4-5
28%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
64%
-19.8pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
16%
+20.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yalova Yeşilovaspor The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Altınova Belediyespor The Market 20%
-84% / -84% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-36% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
442 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yalova Yeşilovaspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Altınova Belediyespor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.11.2023 Altınova Belediyespor Altınova Belediyespor 1-2 Yalova Yeşilovaspor Yalova Yeşilovaspor BAL
POST-MATCH Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Altınova Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yalova Yeşilovaspor got the better of Altınova Belediyespor 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yalova Yeşilovaspor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Altınova Belediyespor?

Yalova Yeşilovaspor 3-1 Altınova Belediyespor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Altınova Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yalova Yeşilovaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Yalova Yeşilovaspor 44%, draw 20%, Altınova Belediyespor 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yalova Yeşilovaspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yalova Yeşilovaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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