Vitebsk 1-4 Isloch Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.99
No
64%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
4.96
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.41 — our 40% vs market 35.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
46%
-9.8pp
64%
BTTS No
54%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 43%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+6% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitebsk
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Isloch Minsk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.11.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-3 HT 0-1 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
08.07.2022 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
02.10.2021 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-4 HT 0-1 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
19.05.2021 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
07.08.2020 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-3 HT 1-1 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
26.04.2020 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitebsk
1-4
AWAY Isloch Minsk
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vitebsk vs Isloch Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isloch Minsk swept aside Vitebsk 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Isloch Minsk as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vitebsk had 49% of the ball to Isloch Minsk's 51%, shots finished 4-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isloch Minsk led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vitebsk and 2.33 for Isloch Minsk.

What was the final score of Vitebsk vs Isloch Minsk?

Vitebsk 1-4 Isloch Minsk in the Belarus - Cup on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitebsk vs Isloch Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Isloch Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vitebsk 28%, draw 28%, Isloch Minsk 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isloch Minsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Isloch Minsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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