Posusje 1-0 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

Posusje
1-0 HT 1-0
Velez Mostar
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League – 2023/2024

Posusje vs Velez Mostar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.5pp
36%
Draw
31%
+4.9pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
+0.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
-0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.8pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Posusje v Velez Mostar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Posusje EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +19%
1.17/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.65
-2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +82%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
365 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Posusje vs Velez Mostar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Posusje
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Velez Mostar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-1 HT 0-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
18.02.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-0 HT 1-0 Posusje Posusje BOSK
30.09.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-1 HT 1-1 Posusje Posusje BOSN
15.07.2022 Posusje Posusje 1-1 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
25.04.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 5-2 HT 3-1 Posusje Posusje BOSN
02.10.2021 Posusje Posusje 2-4 HT 0-2 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN

Posusje 1-0 Velez Mostar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Posusje
1-0
AWAY Velez Mostar
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Posusje vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Posusje nicked a narrow win over Velez Mostar 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 36% / 31%) promised a tight game; Posusje found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Posusje had 49% of the ball to Velez Mostar's 51%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Posusje and 2.50 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of Posusje vs Velez Mostar?

Posusje 1-0 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Posusje vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Posusje 33%, draw 36%, Velez Mostar 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
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