Naestved 1-1 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
15.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.16
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
13%
4.83
X/2
14%
6.21
X/X
13%
4.58
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.48
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naestved EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.57/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.28
+11% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
19.5 Crosses 22.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naestved
2W-0D-1L
AWAY AC Horsens
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.65 xG 2.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
461 Passes 332
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
25.08.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 3-0 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
29.11.2015 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-3 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
26.07.2015 Naestved Naestved 2-1 HT 0-1 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naestved
1-1
AWAY AC Horsens
1.64 xG 2.11
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 11
223 Passes 292
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 49
14 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Naestved vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naestved and AC Horsens couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Naestved had 45% of the ball to AC Horsens's 55%, shots finished 10-25, expected goals 1.64 to 2.11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Naestved had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Naestved and 1.67 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of Naestved vs AC Horsens?

Naestved 1-1 AC Horsens in the Denmark 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naestved vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Naestved 39%, draw 27%, AC Horsens 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Naestved), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naestved) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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