03/03/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-0
Nikarm vs Banants II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No Pick
61%
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
36%
4-5
19%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 61% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
35%
Home Win
37%
25%
Draw
32%
40%
Away Win
31%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nikarm v Banants II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Nikarm
The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY
Banants II
The Market 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+30% /
+30%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-23%
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
279 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
331 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Nikarm vs Banants II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Banants II got the better of Nikarm 3-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Banants II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Nikarm vs Banants II?
Nikarm 1-3 Banants II in the Armenia - 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nikarm vs Banants II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Banants II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nikarm 35%, draw 25%, Banants II 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banants II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Banants II)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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