Ararat Yerevan 1-0 BKMA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Armenia - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
38%
4-5
25%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ararat Yerevan The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY BKMA The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ararat Yerevan vs BKMA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ararat Yerevan nicked a narrow win over BKMA 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ararat Yerevan as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Ararat Yerevan vs BKMA?

Ararat Yerevan 1-0 BKMA in the Armenia - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ararat Yerevan vs BKMA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ararat Yerevan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ararat Yerevan 41%, draw 31%, BKMA 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ararat Yerevan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ararat Yerevan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ERM More Armenia - Premier League
3 Mar 2024
14:00 FC Ararat-Armenia vs Van Analysis →