Ethiopia Nigd Bank 4-1 Adama City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.8pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Adama City EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
4-1
AWAY Adama City
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Nigd Bank ran out comfortable winners over Adama City 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ethiopia Nigd Bank as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had 45% of the ball to Adama City's 55%, shots finished 14-4.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama City?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 4-1 Adama City in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Nigd Bank 50%, draw 28%, Adama City 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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