Stade Marocain 1-1 Chabab Ben Guerir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.3pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Marocain EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 26%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
2.08/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.03
+78% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Marocain
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
01.10.2023 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 3-1 HT 0-0 Stade Marocain FAS2
04.03.2023 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Marocain FAS2
POST-MATCH Stade Marocain vs Chabab Ben Guerir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Marocain and Chabab Ben Guerir shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Stade Marocain at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chabab Ben Guerir led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stade Marocain and 1.50 for Chabab Ben Guerir.

What was the final score of Stade Marocain vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Stade Marocain 1-1 Chabab Ben Guerir in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Marocain vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Marocain win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stade Marocain 48%, draw 27%, Chabab Ben Guerir 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stade Marocain) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Marocain) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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