Raja Casablanca 1-0 Olympic Safi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
20.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 36% vs market 30.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raja Casablanca EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympic Safi EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.67/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.30
+8% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raja Casablanca
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Olympic Safi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi 2-2 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
28.01.2023 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi 3-1 HT 1-1 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
04.09.2022 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 2-2 HT 1-2 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi FAS
22.06.2022 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 2-3 HT 2-1 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi FAS
23.11.2021 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi 1-0 HT 1-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
17.07.2021 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi 2-2 HT 0-1 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raja Casablanca
1-0
AWAY Olympic Safi
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Raja Casablanca vs Olympic Safi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Casablanca squeezed past Olympic Safi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Raja Casablanca as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Raja Casablanca had 63% of the ball to Olympic Safi's 37%, shots finished 19-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympic Safi led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Raja Casablanca and 2.17 for Olympic Safi.

What was the final score of Raja Casablanca vs Olympic Safi?

Raja Casablanca 1-0 Olympic Safi in the Morocco - League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raja Casablanca vs Olympic Safi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raja Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Raja Casablanca 48%, draw 28%, Olympic Safi 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raja Casablanca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Raja Casablanca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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