Brezilya (K) 5-1 Arjantin (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒06:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.11
Draw
16%
8.78
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.59
Over 2.5
68%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
8.66
2-3 Goals
34%
2.35
4-5 Goals
34%
2.36
6+ Goals
14%
4.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
85%
-20.4pp
16%
Draw
8%
+8.0pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+12.4pp
32%
Under 2.5
24%
+7.4pp
68%
Over 2.5
76%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brezilya (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Arjantin (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+77% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
477 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
49.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
31.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brezilya (K)
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Arjantin (K)
3.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
2.92 xG 0.07
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
414 Passes 131
81% Pass Accuracy 61%
36 Box Touches 1
21 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2019 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 5-0 HT 3-0 Arjantin (K) Arjantin (K) HAZ
19.04.2018 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 Arjantin (K) Arjantin (K) AKUK
06.04.2018 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Arjantin (K) Arjantin (K) AKUK
11.12.2014 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Arjantin (K) Arjantin (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brezilya (K)
5-1
AWAY Arjantin (K)
2.04 xG 0.59
65% Ball Possession 35%
25 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
362 Passes 143
75% Pass Accuracy 54%
33 Box Touches 5
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brezilya (K) vs Arjantin (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya (K) cruised past Arjantin (K) 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brezilya (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Brezilya (K) had 65% of the ball to Arjantin (K)'s 35%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 2.04 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Brezilya (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.75 goals for Brezilya (K) and 0.25 for Arjantin (K).

What was the final score of Brezilya (K) vs Arjantin (K)?

Brezilya (K) 5-1 Arjantin (K) in the CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brezilya (K) vs Arjantin (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brezilya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Brezilya (K) 65%, draw 16%, Arjantin (K) 19%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brezilya (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brezilya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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