Kanada (K) 1-0 Kosta Rika (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's, 3 Mar 2024

Kanada (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Kosta Rika (K)
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's – 2024

Kanada (K) vs Kosta Rika (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.11
Draw
24%
8.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.0
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
85%
-25.2pp
24%
Draw
8%
+15.6pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kanada (K) v Kosta Rika (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Kosta Rika (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.71/0.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.03/1.11
+73% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 86%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.0
20.5 Crosses 9.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Kanada (K) vs Kosta Rika (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanada (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kosta Rika (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.83 xG 0.12
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
368 Passes 200
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 5
17 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.02.2024 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Kosta Rika (K) Kosta Rika (K) GKK
12.10.2018 Kosta Rika (K) Kosta Rika (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) Kuzey / Orta Amerika - Kadınlar DK CONCACAF Elemeleri

Kanada (K) 1-0 Kosta Rika (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanada (K)
1-0
AWAY Kosta Rika (K)
4.34 xG 0.44
65% Ball Possession 35%
39 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 1
533 Passes 232
83% Pass Accuracy 63%
61 Box Touches 7
49 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kanada (K) vs Kosta Rika (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada (K) edged past Kosta Rika (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kanada (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kanada (K) had 65% of the ball to Kosta Rika (K)'s 35%, shots finished 39-5, expected goals 4.34 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kanada (K)'s control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kanada (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Kanada (K) and 0.50 for Kosta Rika (K).

What was the final score of Kanada (K) vs Kosta Rika (K)?

Kanada (K) 1-0 Kosta Rika (K) in the CONCACAF - Gold Cup Women's on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada (K) vs Kosta Rika (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kanada (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kanada (K) 60%, draw 24%, Kosta Rika (K) 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanada (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kanada (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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