Suwon Bluewings 2-1 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
11%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 30% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
Crosses 19.1
Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
2-1
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings nicked a narrow win over Asan Mugunghwa 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Suwon Bluewings as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 37% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 63%, shots finished 5-13.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Suwon Bluewings 2-1 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 46%, draw 27%, Asan Mugunghwa 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon Bluewings), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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