Sacachispas 4-1 Fraijanes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemela - Premier League Apertura, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
39%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.3pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.2pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sacachispas The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Fraijanes The Market 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +64%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sacachispas
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Fraijanes
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
14.01.2024 Fraijanes 0-0 HT 0-0 Sacachispas Sacachispas GUAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sacachispas
4-1
AWAY Fraijanes
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Sacachispas vs Fraijanes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sacachispas swept aside Fraijanes 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sacachispas as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sacachispas had 46% of the ball to Fraijanes's 54%, shots finished 13-6.

What was the final score of Sacachispas vs Fraijanes?

Sacachispas 4-1 Fraijanes in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sacachispas vs Fraijanes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sacachispas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sacachispas 42%, draw 34%, Fraijanes 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacachispas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sacachispas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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