Dila Gori 2-0 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 3 Mar 2024

Dila Gori
2-0 HT 2-0
Gagra
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Georgia - Erovnuli Liga – 2024

Dila Gori vs Gagra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-9.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dila Gori v Gagra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.51/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.01
-31% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
434 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Dila Gori vs Gagra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dila Gori
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Gagra
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
16.09.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
24.05.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
09.04.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
01.10.2022 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
24.06.2022 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR

Dila Gori 2-0 Gagra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dila Gori
2-0
AWAY Gagra
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dila Gori vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dila Gori beat Gagra 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dila Gori as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dila Gori had 50% of the ball to Gagra's 50%, shots finished 19-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dila Gori had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dila Gori and 0.17 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Dila Gori vs Gagra?

Dila Gori 2-0 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dila Gori vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dila Gori 53%, draw 24%, Gagra 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dila Gori) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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