Riga FC 1-1 Metta / LU Riga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +107% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
427 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.60 xG 0.73
62% Ball Possession 38%
27 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
356 Passes 236
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
59 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-3 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
13.08.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
04.06.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-2 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
25.04.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
22.10.2022 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-2 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
07.08.2022 Riga FC Riga FC 3-2 HT 1-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Metta / LU Riga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC and Metta / LU Riga couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Riga FC at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Riga FC and 0.50 for Metta / LU Riga.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Metta / LU Riga?

Riga FC 1-1 Metta / LU Riga in the Friendlies on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Metta / LU Riga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 54%, draw 24%, Metta / LU Riga 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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