ADO 20 3-0 AFC Amsterdamsche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
31%
-8.4pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.8pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO 20 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 48%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO 20
3-0
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
POST-MATCH ADO 20 vs AFC Amsterdamsche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO 20 swept aside AFC Amsterdamsche 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Amsterdamsche at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, ADO 20 had 45% of the ball to AFC Amsterdamsche's 55%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of ADO 20 vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

ADO 20 3-0 AFC Amsterdamsche in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO 20 vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ADO 20 22%, draw 32%, AFC Amsterdamsche 45%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✗ Under 2.5
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