Killester Utd vs Crumlin United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Killester Utd squeezed past Crumlin United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Crumlin United at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Killester Utd vs Crumlin United?
Killester Utd 2-1 Crumlin United in the Ireland - Leinster Senior League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Killester Utd vs Crumlin United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Crumlin United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Killester Utd 23%, draw 19%, Crumlin United 58%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Crumlin United), BTTS No went the other way.