Nara Club 1-1 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nara Club EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.26/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.44
-3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nara Club
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.08.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 2-0 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
19.03.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-3 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nara Club
1-1
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nara Club vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club and Parceiro Nagano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nara Club at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nara Club had 53% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 47%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nara Club had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Nara Club and 0.00 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Nara Club vs Parceiro Nagano?

Nara Club 1-1 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nara Club vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nara Club win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nara Club 41%, draw 28%, Parceiro Nagano 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nara Club) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nara Club) ✓ Under 2.5
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