Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 Mar 2024

Urawa Red Diamonds
1-1 HT 0-1
Tokyo Verdy
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.57
6+ Goals
10%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.5
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.1
X/1
19%
3.94
X/2
8%
8.23
X/X
13%
4.18
2/1
12%
28.0
2/2
9%
6.97
2/X
7%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Urawa Red Diamonds v Tokyo Verdy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.94/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.03/1.99
+24% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -98% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
15.6 Crosses 12.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.0

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo Verdy Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
The Meetings
22.08.2018 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JPK
27.08.2008 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-1 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
17.07.2008 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-2 HT 2-2 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
06.07.2005 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-7 HT 0-3 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP

Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 Tokyo Verdy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
1-1
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
1.53 xG 0.44
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 6
550 Passes 281
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds and Tokyo Verdy couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Urawa Red Diamonds at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 63% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 37%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.53 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 0.75 for Tokyo Verdy.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo Verdy?

Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 53%, draw 26%, Tokyo Verdy 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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