03/03/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Vihiga Bullets vs Rainbow Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
Over
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
64%
No
36%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
36%
4-5
24%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 64% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
45%
Home Win
33%
30%
Draw
24%
25%
Away Win
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vihiga Bullets v Rainbow — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vihiga Bullets
The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Rainbow
The Market 46%
-23% /
-23%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-44%
/
-53%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
44%
Ball Possession
56%
11
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
252 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
359 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Vihiga Bullets vs Rainbow Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Vihiga Bullets
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Rainbow
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Vihiga Bullets vs Rainbow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vihiga Bullets and Rainbow shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Vihiga Bullets at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.
What was the final score of Vihiga Bullets vs Rainbow?
Vihiga Bullets 1-1 Rainbow in the Kenya - Super League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vihiga Bullets vs Rainbow?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vihiga Bullets win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vihiga Bullets 45%, draw 30%, Rainbow 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vihiga Bullets), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Vihiga Bullets)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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