Grecia 1-2 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.7pp
35%
Draw
27%
+8.2pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-9.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grecia EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grecia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
23.10.2023 Grecia Grecia 2-3 HT 2-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
21.08.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 1-1 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grecia
1-2
AWAY Municipal Liberia
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grecia vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia squeezed past Grecia 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 35% / 33%) promised a tight game; Municipal Liberia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grecia had 42% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 58%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Grecia and 2.00 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Grecia vs Municipal Liberia?

Grecia 1-2 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grecia vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Grecia 32%, draw 35%, Municipal Liberia 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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