Ajka 1-0 Kazincbarcika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazincbarcika EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.57/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.58
+13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Kazincbarcika
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.08.2023 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
23.04.2023 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
30.10.2022 Ajka Ajka 1-1 HT 0-0 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika MAC2
13.12.2020 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
05.08.2020 Ajka Ajka 3-1 HT 1-1 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika MAC2
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Kazincbarcika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka edged past Kazincbarcika 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ajka as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kazincbarcika led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Ajka and 1.00 for Kazincbarcika.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Kazincbarcika?

Ajka 1-0 Kazincbarcika in the Hungary - NB II on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Kazincbarcika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ajka 46%, draw 26%, Kazincbarcika 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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