Milsami 1-2 Zimbru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - Cup, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.03
No
65%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
45%
-10.3pp
65%
BTTS No
55%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbru EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zimbru
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Milsami Milsami 1-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
06.08.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 0-1 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
30.04.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 0-1 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
18.03.2023 Milsami Milsami 0-3 HT 0-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
27.10.2022 Zimbru Zimbru 1-1 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
04.09.2022 Milsami Milsami 1-0 HT 1-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
1-2
AWAY Zimbru
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milsami vs Zimbru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru edged past Milsami 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Zimbru made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milsami had 49% of the ball to Zimbru's 51%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milsami had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Milsami and 0.67 for Zimbru.

What was the final score of Milsami vs Zimbru?

Milsami 1-2 Zimbru in the Moldova - Cup on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs Zimbru?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Milsami 32%, draw 30%, Zimbru 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbru) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zimbru) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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