Union Tornesch 2-1 Süderelbe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
No
34%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Tornesch EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Süderelbe EU Bookmakers 53%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+6% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Union Tornesch vs Süderelbe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Tornesch nicked a narrow win over Süderelbe 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Süderelbe at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Union Tornesch vs Süderelbe?

Union Tornesch 2-1 Süderelbe in the Germany - Oberliga on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Tornesch vs Süderelbe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Süderelbe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union Tornesch 30%, draw 29%, Süderelbe 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Süderelbe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Süderelbe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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