Club Olimpia 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-9.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.70/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.28
+27% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Olimpia
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
27.08.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
13.04.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
31.01.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
09.11.2021 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 4-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
23.08.2021 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-0 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Olimpia
1-0
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Olimpia nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Luqueno 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Club Olimpia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Club Olimpia had 50% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 50%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Olimpia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Club Olimpia and 0.83 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Club Olimpia 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportivo Luqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Club Olimpia 35%, draw 29%, Sportivo Luqueno 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PAR More Paraguay - Profesyonel League
3 Mar 2024
00:00 Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo Analysis →