Cesar Vallejo 2-2 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -18%
1.52/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.78
-1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 72%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
20.5 Crosses 15.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesar Vallejo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cusco FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.17 xG 0.94
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 Passes 222
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 3-1 HT 1-1 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
11.06.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
19.07.2021 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 1-0 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
03.05.2021 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 1-1 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
24.11.2020 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
07.03.2020 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesar Vallejo
2-2
AWAY Cusco FC
2.86 xG 0.49
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
369 Passes 205
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cesar Vallejo vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesar Vallejo and Cusco FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cesar Vallejo at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cesar Vallejo had 61% of the ball to Cusco FC's 39%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.86 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cesar Vallejo and 1.17 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of Cesar Vallejo vs Cusco FC?

Cesar Vallejo 2-2 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesar Vallejo vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesar Vallejo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cesar Vallejo 54%, draw 23%, Cusco FC 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cesar Vallejo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cesar Vallejo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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