Gornik Leczna 1-1 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.47
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+9.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.43/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.02
-2% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Leczna
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Motor Lublin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 0-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
12.07.2017 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 4-2 HT 1-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Leczna
1-1
AWAY Motor Lublin
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gornik Leczna vs Motor Lublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Leczna and Motor Lublin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gornik Leczna had 55% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 45%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gornik Leczna and 2.00 for Motor Lublin.

What was the final score of Gornik Leczna vs Motor Lublin?

Gornik Leczna 1-1 Motor Lublin in the Poland - 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Leczna vs Motor Lublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motor Lublin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gornik Leczna 32%, draw 28%, Motor Lublin 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Motor Lublin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motor Lublin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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