Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-1 Stal Stalowa Wola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.96
6+ Goals
11%
18.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.96 — our 24% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 29%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +3%
2.08/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.12
+29% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
10 Corners 3
19.08.2023 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 5-2 HT 2-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice
1-1
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stal Stalowa Wola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chojniczanka Chojnice and Stal Stalowa Wola shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Chojniczanka Chojnice at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chojniczanka Chojnice had 43% of the ball to Stal Stalowa Wola's 57%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Chojniczanka Chojnice 1-1 Stal Stalowa Wola in the Poland - 2nd Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chojniczanka Chojnice win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chojniczanka Chojnice 49%, draw 25%, Stal Stalowa Wola 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chojniczanka Chojnice) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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