FCSB 1-0 Petrolul 52 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 31% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
63%
-16.4pp
31%
Draw
22%
+9.3pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrolul 52 EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
2.01/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.27
+11% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Petrolul 52
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 1.61
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 2-2 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
02.03.2023 FCSB FCSB 4-1 HT 2-1 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 ROM
09.10.2022 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 0-2 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
1-0
AWAY Petrolul 52
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Petrolul 52
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB squeezed past Petrolul 52 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FCSB had 58% of the ball to Petrolul 52's 42%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FCSB had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for FCSB and 1.00 for Petrolul 52.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Petrolul 52?

FCSB 1-0 Petrolul 52 in the Romania - 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Petrolul 52?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FCSB 47%, draw 31%, Petrolul 52 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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