03/03/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Çatalcaspor vs Muş Spor Kulübü Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
26%
29%
Draw
28%
32%
Away Win
46%
61%
Under 2.5
60%
39%
Over 2.5
40%
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
55%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Çatalcaspor v Muş Spor Kulübü — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Çatalcaspor
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Muş Spor Kulübü
EU Bookmakers 50%
-6% /
-6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-67%
/
+39%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
9
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
5
322 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
372 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Çatalcaspor vs Muş Spor Kulübü Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Çatalcaspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Muş Spor Kulübü
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
22.10.2023
Muş Spor Kulübü
2-1
HT 2-1
Çatalcaspor
S3-2
2-1
HT 2-1
Çatalcaspor
S3-2
POST-MATCH
Çatalcaspor vs Muş Spor Kulübü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Çatalcaspor swept aside Muş Spor Kulübü 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Çatalcaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.
What was the final score of Çatalcaspor vs Muş Spor Kulübü?
Çatalcaspor 3-0 Muş Spor Kulübü in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Çatalcaspor vs Muş Spor Kulübü?
Before kick-off our model rated a Çatalcaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Çatalcaspor 39%, draw 29%, Muş Spor Kulübü 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çatalcaspor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Çatalcaspor)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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S3-2
More Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup
3 Mar 2024