Bursa Yıldırımspor 1-1 Alanya Kestelspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bursa Yıldırımspor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanya Kestelspor EU Bookmakers 33%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.55/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.94
+18% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +40%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bursa Yıldırımspor
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Alanya Kestelspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
22.10.2023 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor S3-4
29.09.2021 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor TÜK
04.03.2021 Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor S3-4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bursa Yıldırımspor
1-1
AWAY Alanya Kestelspor
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Alanya Kestelspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bursa Yıldırımspor and Alanya Kestelspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Bursa Yıldırımspor had 51% of the ball to Alanya Kestelspor's 49%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alanya Kestelspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bursa Yıldırımspor and 1.67 for Alanya Kestelspor.

What was the final score of Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Alanya Kestelspor?

Bursa Yıldırımspor 1-1 Alanya Kestelspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Alanya Kestelspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bursa Yıldırımspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bursa Yıldırımspor 40%, draw 27%, Alanya Kestelspor 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bursa Yıldırımspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bursa Yıldırımspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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