Koper 1-2 Rogaska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.26
6+ Goals
12%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Rogaska EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.77/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.18
+3% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Rogaska
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Rogaska Rogaska 0-1 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
26.08.2023 Koper Koper 3-0 Rogaska Rogaska SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
1-2
AWAY Rogaska
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Koper vs Rogaska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rogaska nicked a narrow win over Koper 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Koper at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Koper had 62% of the ball to Rogaska's 38%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Koper had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Koper and 0.00 for Rogaska.

What was the final score of Koper vs Rogaska?

Koper 1-2 Rogaska in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs Rogaska?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Koper 49%, draw 24%, Rogaska 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Koper) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Koper) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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