Nakhon Si Thammarat 3-1 Customs United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 2nd Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Si Thammarat EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Customs United EU Bookmakers 33%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.37/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.97
+81% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Si Thammarat
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Customs United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2023 Customs United 2-0 HT 1-0 Nakhon Si Thammarat Nakhon Si Thammarat TAY1
20.11.2022 Nakhon Si Thammarat Nakhon Si Thammarat 3-2 HT 2-2 Customs United TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Si Thammarat
3-1
AWAY Customs United
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Nakhon Si Thammarat vs Customs United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Si Thammarat beat Customs United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nakhon Si Thammarat as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nakhon Si Thammarat had 47% of the ball to Customs United's 53%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nakhon Si Thammarat and 2.00 for Customs United.

What was the final score of Nakhon Si Thammarat vs Customs United?

Nakhon Si Thammarat 3-1 Customs United in the Thailand - 2nd Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Si Thammarat vs Customs United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Si Thammarat win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Si Thammarat 45%, draw 27%, Customs United 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nakhon Si Thammarat), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nakhon Si Thammarat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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