ES Metlaoui vs Ben Guerdane Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ES Metlaoui v Ben Guerdane — Team-Based Signals
ES Metlaoui vs Ben Guerdane Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Ben Guerdane
TUN1
2-0
HT 1-0
ES Metlaoui
TUN1B
0-0
HT 0-0
ES Metlaoui
TUN1
0-0
HT 0-0
Ben Guerdane
TUN1
2-2
HT 1-1
ES Metlaoui
TUN1
0-1
HT 0-0
Ben Guerdane
TUN1
ES Metlaoui beat Ben Guerdane 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ES Metlaoui as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ben Guerdane led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for ES Metlaoui and 1.00 for Ben Guerdane.
What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs Ben Guerdane?
ES Metlaoui 3-1 Ben Guerdane in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs Ben Guerdane?
Before kick-off our model rated a ES Metlaoui win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 46%, draw 29%, Ben Guerdane 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Metlaoui) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.