Ho Chi Minh 1-0 Binh Duong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+6.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-8.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ho Chi Minh EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Binh Duong EU Bookmakers 45%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
0.45/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.06
-60% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ho Chi Minh
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Binh Duong
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2023 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 1-2 HT 0-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİETK
11.08.2023 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 0-0 HT 0-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
17.02.2023 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-2 HT 1-2 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
15.10.2022 Binh Duong Binh Duong 0-0 HT 0-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
06.03.2022 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 1-1 HT 0-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
07.11.2020 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 1-1 HT 0-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ho Chi Minh
1-0
AWAY Binh Duong
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
13 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ho Chi Minh squeezed past Binh Duong 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Ho Chi Minh made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Ho Chi Minh had 48% of the ball to Binh Duong's 52%, shots finished 9-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ho Chi Minh and 0.83 for Binh Duong.

What was the final score of Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong?

Ho Chi Minh 1-0 Binh Duong in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ho Chi Minh win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ho Chi Minh 38%, draw 30%, Binh Duong 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ho Chi Minh), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ho Chi Minh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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