Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

Hermanos Colmenarez
1-2 HT 1-2
Deportivo La Guaira
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Hermanos Colmenarez vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.3pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hermanos Colmenarez v Deportivo La Guaira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
0.87/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.40
+0% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
18.9 Crosses 15.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Hermanos Colmenarez vs Deportivo La Guaira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.41 xG 0.93
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
299 Passes 467
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-2 HT 1-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
25.02.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
15.10.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
08.10.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
02.09.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
20.03.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN

Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
1-2
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
3.45 xG 0.92
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
292 Passes 354
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 6
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hermanos Colmenarez vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira nicked a narrow win over Hermanos Colmenarez 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 37%) promised a tight game; Deportivo La Guaira found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hermanos Colmenarez had 47% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 53%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 3.45 to 0.92 — on chances, Hermanos Colmenarez could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hermanos Colmenarez and 1.00 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Hermanos Colmenarez vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermanos Colmenarez vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hermanos Colmenarez 32%, draw 32%, Deportivo La Guaira 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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