03/03/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Kallithea vs Diagoras Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
29%
Draw
26%
31%
Away Win
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kallithea v Diagoras — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kallithea
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Diagoras
EU Bookmakers 38%
+20% /
+20%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+150%
/
-71%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
271 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
370 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Kallithea vs Diagoras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kallithea and Diagoras shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Kallithea vs Diagoras?
Kallithea 1-1 Diagoras in the Greece - Superlig 2 on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kallithea vs Diagoras?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kallithea win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kallithea 39%, draw 29%, Diagoras 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Kallithea)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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