Aveley 2-2 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.9
Over
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.18
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.33
6+
7%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.18 — our 31% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aveley EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 38%
-27% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.10/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-22% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aveley
2-2
AWAY Salisbury
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aveley vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aveley and Salisbury couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Aveley had 49% of the ball to Salisbury's 51%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Aveley vs Salisbury?

Aveley 2-2 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aveley vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aveley win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aveley 40%, draw 27%, Salisbury 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aveley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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