Houston Dynamo 1-4 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.1
Over
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.88
2-3
37%
1.8
4-5
24%
2.91
6+
13%
9.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.31
1/2
5%
27.0
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
15%
5.59
X/2
13%
6.32
X/X
11%
5.08
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
19%
4.01
2/X
7%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami The Market 37%
+2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +18%
1.47/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.56
-5% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.9 Crosses 12.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.53 xG 1.53
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
362 Passes 418
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-2 HT 0-2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABDK
23.04.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
03.04.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-3 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
11.10.2020 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
1-4
AWAY Inter Miami
0.46 xG 1.73
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
375 Passes 459
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami swept aside Houston Dynamo 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Inter Miami found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 46% of the ball to Inter Miami's 54%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.46 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Houston Dynamo and 0.75 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Inter Miami?

Houston Dynamo 1-4 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 36%, draw 27%, Inter Miami 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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