Al-Qasim 1-2 Al Najaf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 3 Mar 2025

Al-Qasim
1-2 HT 0-1
Al Najaf
📅03/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al-Qasim vs Al Najaf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.2pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al-Qasim v Al Najaf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qasim EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 45%
+62% / +62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+83% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al-Qasim vs Al Najaf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najaf nicked a narrow win over Al-Qasim 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Najaf as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al-Qasim vs Al Najaf?

Al-Qasim 1-2 Al Najaf in the Iraq - Premier League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qasim vs Al Najaf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najaf win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al-Qasim 27%, draw 31%, Al Najaf 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najaf) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najaf) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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