Shabab Al Sahel 1-0 Shabab Al Ghazieh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.96
No
42%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
47%
+11.3pp
42%
BTTS No
53%
-11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Sahel EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Ghazieh EU Bookmakers 23%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.52/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+135% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Sahel vs Shabab Al Ghazieh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Sahel squeezed past Shabab Al Ghazieh 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shabab Al Sahel as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Sahel vs Shabab Al Ghazieh?

Shabab Al Sahel 1-0 Shabab Al Ghazieh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Sahel vs Shabab Al Ghazieh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shabab Al Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Sahel 53%, draw 26%, Shabab Al Ghazieh 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabab Al Sahel), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shabab Al Sahel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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