Universitario vs Alianza Universidad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Universitario v Alianza Universidad — Team-Based Signals
Universitario vs Alianza Universidad Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-2
Universitario
PER
0-1
HT 0-0
Universitario
PER
3-2
HT 3-0
Alianza Universidad
PER
0-1
HT 0-0
Universitario
PER
1-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Universidad
PER
Universitario 4-0 Alianza Universidad — Actual Match Statistics
Universitario swept aside Alianza Universidad 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Universitario had 46% of the ball to Alianza Universidad's 54%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 2.92 to 0.27.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Universitario and 0.60 for Alianza Universidad.
What was the final score of Universitario vs Alianza Universidad?
Universitario 4-0 Alianza Universidad in the Peru - Premier League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Universitario vs Alianza Universidad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Universitario 62%, draw 24%, Alianza Universidad 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.