Karadağ (K) 1-2 Arnavutluk (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.15
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.34 — our 29% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.6pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karadağ (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutluk (K) EU Bookmakers 28%
-66% / -66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-100% / -76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +64%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Karadağ (K) vs Arnavutluk (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutluk (K) nicked a narrow win over Karadağ (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Karadağ (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Karadağ (K) vs Arnavutluk (K)?

Karadağ (K) 1-2 Arnavutluk (K) in the Women's World Cup on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karadağ (K) vs Arnavutluk (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karadağ (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Karadağ (K) 47%, draw 23%, Arnavutluk (K) 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karadağ (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karadağ (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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