Sportivo San Lorenzo 0-7 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.68
Over 2.5
55%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.06
No
43%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
19%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
56%
Away Win
56%
-0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
56%
-10.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
44%
+10.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
44%
+12.9pp
43%
BTTS No
56%
-12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 60%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
0.97/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.87
+1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo San Lorenzo
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Libertad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
21.11.2020 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo 2-2 HT 2-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
27.09.2020 Libertad Libertad 3-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo PAR
25.07.2020 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo 1-2 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
30.09.2019 Libertad Libertad 3-0 HT 2-0 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo PAR
05.12.2015 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo PAR
14.09.2015 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo 0-2 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo San Lorenzo
0-7
AWAY Libertad
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad ran out comfortable winners over Sportivo San Lorenzo 7-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Sportivo San Lorenzo had 49% of the ball to Libertad's 51%, shots finished 17-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sportivo San Lorenzo and 2.17 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Libertad?

Sportivo San Lorenzo 0-7 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sportivo San Lorenzo 19%, draw 25%, Libertad 56%. The final score 0-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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