Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 Juventud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 3 Mar 2026

Deportivo Maldonado
2-1 HT 2-1
Juventud
📅03/03/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2026

Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-0.6pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.4pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Maldonado v Juventud — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud EU Bookmakers 21%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.74/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.45
-59% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 Juventud — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
2-1
AWAY Juventud
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maldonado squeezed past Juventud 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Maldonado as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 61% of the ball to Juventud's 39%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?

Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 Juventud in the Uruguay - Premier League on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maldonado win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 57%, draw 19%, Juventud 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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