Triestina 1-1 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.3
6+ Goals
10%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.48/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.81
+12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +53%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atalanta II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2023 Atalanta II Atalanta II 2-1 HT 2-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
1-1
AWAY Atalanta II
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina and Atalanta II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Triestina had 47% of the ball to Atalanta II's 53%, shots finished 15-17.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Atalanta II?

Triestina 1-1 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Triestina 45%, draw 25%, Atalanta II 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Triestina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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