Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fiorentina v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Atalanta
İTA
1-1
HT 0-1
Atalanta
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Fiorentina
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Atalanta
İTA
2-3
HT 1-1
Fiorentina
İTK
1-2
HT 0-1
Fiorentina
İTA
Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorentina edged past Atalanta 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Fiorentina made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Fiorentina had 49% of the ball to Atalanta's 51%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.65 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fiorentina's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fiorentina and 1.17 for Atalanta.
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta in the Italy - Cup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Atalanta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 37%, draw 31%, Atalanta 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.