Central Valley Fuego vs El Farolito Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Central Valley Fuego v El Farolito — Team-Based Signals
Central Valley Fuego 1-2 El Farolito — Actual Match Statistics
El Farolito nicked a narrow win over Central Valley Fuego 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Central Valley Fuego at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Central Valley Fuego had 45% of the ball to El Farolito's 55%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.40 to 2.06.
What was the final score of Central Valley Fuego vs El Farolito?
Central Valley Fuego 1-2 El Farolito in the USA - Open Cup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Central Valley Fuego vs El Farolito?
Before kick-off our model rated a Central Valley Fuego win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Central Valley Fuego 41%, draw 29%, El Farolito 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.