Homburg vs SGV Freiberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Homburg v SGV Freiberg — Team-Based Signals
Homburg vs SGV Freiberg Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Homburg
ALMBÖL
5-1
HT 2-1
SGV Freiberg
ALMBÖL
2-0
HT 0-0
Homburg
ALMBÖL
Homburg 0-3 SGV Freiberg — Actual Match Statistics
SGV Freiberg swept aside Homburg 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Homburg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Homburg had 53% of the ball to SGV Freiberg's 47%, shots finished 21-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, SGV Freiberg led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Homburg and 1.67 for SGV Freiberg.
What was the final score of Homburg vs SGV Freiberg?
Homburg 0-3 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Homburg vs SGV Freiberg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Homburg 43%, draw 29%, SGV Freiberg 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Homburg), Under 2.5 went the other way.